Let S = {1, 2, 3, ..., n}.  Three subsets A, B, C of S are chosen at random.

Find the probability that A is a subset of B, and B is a subset of C.

1 answer

To find the probability that the subset \( A \) is a subset of \( B \), and \( B \) is a subset of \( C \) for randomly chosen subsets \( A, B, C \) of the set \( S = { 1, 2, 3, \ldots, n } \), we can analyze the choices we have for each element in \( S \).

Each element of \( S \) can be in three states with respect to the subsets \( A, B, C \):

  1. The element is not in \( C \).
  2. The element is in \( C \) but not in \( B \).
  3. The element is in \( B \) but not in \( A \).
  4. The element is in \( A \) (which also means it must be in \( B \) and \( C \) based on the subset conditions).

Since \( A \subseteq B \subseteq C \) must hold, we can characterize our decision for each element:

  • If the element is not in \( C \), then it cannot be in \( B \) or \( A \).
  • If the element is in \( C \), it can either be:
    • Not in \( B \) (and not in \( A \)), or
    • In \( B \) (and therefore also in \( A \)).

Let’s summarize the choices for each element:

  1. Not in \( C \): In this case, it is guaranteed not to be in \( B \) and thus not in \( A \).
  2. In \( C \) and not in \( B \): It is not in \( A \).
  3. In \( C \) and in \( B \): In this case, it could be either in \( A \) or not.
    • If it’s in \( A \), then it is also in \( B \) and \( C \).
    • If it’s not in \( A \), then it’s still in \( C \) and \( B \).

So, we can break down the choices into the following:

  • For each of the \( n \) elements, we have 3 choices based on our earlier classification:
    1. The element is not in \( C \) (and therefore not in \( B \) or \( A \)).
    2. The element is in \( C \) but not in \( B \) (and therefore not in \( A \)).
    3. The element is in \( C \) and \( B \) (from which we can choose to include it in \( A \) or not).

Thus:

  • For an element that is included in both \( C \) and \( B \), we have 2 choices (to be in \( A \) or not),
  • For elements not in \( C \), we only have one choice.

Hence, for every element in \( S \), the choices can be calculated as follows:

  • \( 1 \) way not to include it in \( C \),
  • \( 1 \) way to include it in \( C \) and not in \( B \),
  • \( 2 \) ways to include it in \( C\) and \( B \) (for it being either in \( A \) or not).

This gives us a total of \( 1 + 1 + 2 = 4 \) choices for each element.

Since there are \( n \) elements in \( S \), the total number of combinations for choosing subsets \( A \), \( B \), and \( C \) that satisfy \( A \subseteq B \subseteq C \) is \( 4^n \).

On the other hand, the total number of ways to choose arbitrary subsets \( A \), \( B \), and \( C \) independently from \( S \) is \( 2^n \times 2^n \times 2^n = (2^n)^3 = 8^n \).

Thus, the probability \( P \) that \( A \) is a subset of \( B \) and \( B \) is a subset of \( C \) is given by

\[ P = \frac{4^n}{8^n} = \left(\frac{4}{8}\right)^n = \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n. \]

Therefore, the final answer is

\[ \boxed{\left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^n}. \]

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