The statement that best explains why females are less likely to express hemophilia is:
"When paired with a normal X, the affected x allele is masked (Xx), suppressing the trait. Since females have only X alleles, the probability decreases."
This is because females have two X chromosomes (XX), so if one X chromosome carries the hemophilia allele, the other normal X can mask the effects of the affected allele. In contrast, males have one X and one Y chromosome (XY), so they will express hemophilia if their single X chromosome carries the affected allele.